Seahawks @ Falcons: Seahawks -6.5
Today’s game feels like the kind of matchup that lines up just right for Seattle. The Seahawks arrive riding confidence: they just shut out the Minnesota Vikings 26–0, forcing five turnovers — including an interception returned 85 yards for a touchdown by linebacker Ernest Jones IV. That performance highlighted how dominant their defense has become.
One of the biggest strengths for Seattle this season has been their run defense. They’re giving up only about 88.8 rushing yards per game (second-best in the league) and have not allowed a 100-yard rusher in 21 straight games. That’s particularly relevant because the Falcons’ offense leans heavily on Bijan Robinson. If Seattle continues to control the line of scrimmage and limit his production, Atlanta’s offense suddenly looks much less threatening.
Moreover, the Seahawks don’t just defend — they also manage to produce on offense. Quarterback Sam Darnold has led a well-rounded attack. Their passing game (ranked among the top in the league) combined with a capable rushing corps keeps the offense balanced and dangerous. Meanwhile, the Falcons come in with a 4–8 record and have struggled to consistently execute, especially when key weapons or rhythm are missing.
Finally, Seattle’s performance when favored makes a compelling case for the spread. This season, when Seattle has been at least a 6.5-point favorite, they have mostly delivered — and their road record against the spread is strong (5-1 ATS on the road). Given all that — dominant defense, balanced offense, favorable matchup, and reliable performance under pressure — the -6.5 line almost seems too low to make this a fair game.
If Seattle plays with the same intensity and discipline they showed last week, they have the weapons, defensive strength, and consistency to easily cover the spread and then some.